Michael Neal

Michael Neal
Michael Neal is a Senior Economist at the National Association of Home Builders based in Washington D.C. In this capacity, Mr. Neal’s research involves monitoring housing finance issues that impact the U.S. housing market. As a housing economist, Mr. Neal has provided expert analysis and commentary on housing to media outlets around the country. Prior to joining NAHB, Michael worked at the Congress’ Joint Economic Committee, the Federal Reserve, the Congressional Budget Office and Goldman Sachs. He holds a B.A. degree in Economics from Morehouse College, an M.P.A. from the University of Pennsylvania.

Mortgage Debt Outstanding Expands On Growing Originations

By Michael Neal According to the Household Debt and Credit Report released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, aggregate household debt outstanding totaled $12.252 trillion in the first quarter of 2016, 2.4%, $401 billion, greater than its level of one year ago. The report found that non-housing related debt outstanding (auto loans, credit cards, student loans and other …

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Lending Standards on AD&C Financing Continue to Ease, but at a Diminished Pace

By Michael Neal According to NAHB’s Survey on Acquisition, Development & Construction Financing, builders and developers again reported easing credit standards for acquisition, development, and construction (AD&C) loans. However, the pace of easing continues to slow from previous periods. In the first quarter of 2016, 13.3% of survey respondents on net indicated that overall lending standards on AD&C loan availability …

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Serious Delinquency Rates Continue to Fall

By Michael Neal In its quarterly National Delinquency Survey, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported that 3.29% of 1-4 family mortgages were seriously delinquent in the first quarter of 2016. Measured on a not seasonally adjusted basis, the rate of serious delinquency, which includes both mortgages that are 90 or more days past due and mortgages in foreclosure, was 0.95 percentage …

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Consumer Credit Grows on Eased Lending Standards

By Michael Neal The Federal Reserve Board reported that consumer credit outstanding grew by a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 10.0% over the month of March 2016, 5.2 percentage points faster than its growth rate in February. Over the first quarter of 2016, consumer credit outstanding expanded by 6.4%, 0.2 percentage points ahead of the 6.2% rate of growth in …

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Consumer Credit Outstanding Partly Fueled by Strengthening Demand

By Michael Neal Consumer credit outstanding grew by a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.2%, $222.7 billion, in the month of May 2016, 1.7 percentage points faster than the 4.5% rate of growth recorded in April. Consumer credit outstanding now totals $3.624 trillion. According to the Federal Reserve Board’s Consumer Credit report, the increase in total consumer credit outstanding partly …

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Despite Upward Revision, Slower Growth Trend Continues

By Michael Neal The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported today that GDP, a broad measure of overall economic activity, rose by a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.1% in the first quarter of 2016. Today’s release is the third and final estimate of GDP growth for the quarter. The final estimate of GDP growth was revised higher from both the …

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The Impact of Negative Rates on Housing Markets in the Euro Area

By Michael Neal According to information compiled by the European Mortgage Federation, the total amount of mortgage debt outstanding across the 19 countries in the Euro Area, those that have adopted the common euro currency, reached €4.46 trillion in 2014, an increase of €30 billion, 0.7%, from its level in 2013, €4.43 trillion. Despite a financial crisis that was global …

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