Fannie’s Forecast Sees a Brightening Recovery; Stocks vs Bonds

Fannie Mae has upgraded its forecast for the third quarter gross domestic product (GDP). It now expects growth at an annualized pace of 30.4 percent , up from the 27.2 percent the company’s economists predicted in August. They say that growth has clearly slowed from the days soon after the business shutdowns and orders to shelter in place were gradually lifted by states and cities in May and June, but more recent data points to a continued recovery. It was originally thought that personal consumption expenditures would fall off significantly as expanded unemployment benefits expired, but they rose 1.6 percent in July, and early data for August suggest that growth continued. Auto sales, one component of the PCE, rose 4.5 percent and credit and debit card transactions appear to have increased

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