Sunday , 17 February 2019

Mortgage Rates Still Can't Find Inspiration

By Matthew Graham

Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage rates stood a very decent chance to experience the highest volatility of the week today thanks to the most important economic data of the week being released this morning. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the most widely-followed inflation metric in the U.S. and inflation is a big deal for the bonds that underlie rates (including mortgages). On numerous occasions over the past 2 years, we’ve witnessed clear connections between variations in CPI data and subsequent volatility in rates. But not today… The biggest issue today was that CPI ended up being pretty boring. In other words, the actual numbers were very close to the forecast. Bonds (and thus, interest rates) didn’t have much of a reaction. Even then, we may well wonder how big of a reaction we would have seen if the data was…(read more)

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